Sean t rcp twitter

“.@FiveThirtyEight nowcast up to 32.2% Trump. So we're at Russian Roulette with bullets in two cylinders.”.

In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersMay 3, 2022 · “Most people on this site sort into the relatively extreme positions of the two major parties: Almost no restrictions and government-funded, or made illegal. But when analyzing the impact of this opinion, just remember that most voters don't sort neatly into either camp. 2/” “OK, let's settle this: Worst Star Wars main storyline movie. I'll give my take at the end, but I do think a case can be made for any of these.”

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Jun 23, 2022 · “The truth is, I think the Biden will have a better chance at re-election than the environment (whatever it is in 2024) will suggest, because Trump will make the election about him rather the environment. Should Trump lose the primary, he'll go nuclear on the GOP nominee.” Sean T at RCP. SeanTrende. ... My hot takes on contemporary Twitter discussions:(1) I think Trump is likely to lose. Maybe 1-in-5 chance he wins(?)(2) I don't think the 1988 example is terribly apposite; that was Read more. So my Poli Sci 1100 class from Fall '19 will remember -- or should! -- me saying that I thought the arg. in the Title VII ...“@ThePlumLineGS @billscher So I'm pretty comfortable saying they'd have gotten something through absent the strictures of reconciliation. And remember, with regular order you don't have to go all-or-nothing. You can do a *ton* through appropriations riders, which give nervous members cover.”Jun 23, 2022 · “The truth is, I think the Biden will have a better chance at re-election than the environment (whatever it is in 2024) will suggest, because Trump will make the election about him rather the environment. Should Trump lose the primary, he'll go nuclear on the GOP nominee.”

Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart.At 266 electoral votes, Donald Trump stood just one state short of winning the presidency. And with the final RCP Poll Averages in a handful of battleground states showing Trump trailing by just 0 ...In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersIn this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersFrom a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll. Practice here first or read more on our help page! More from @SeanTrende. Sean T at RCP ...

Oct 30, 2018 · In this conversation. Verified account May 10, 2021 · “Gen X is gonna get skipped over for presidents until we're 80 years old like the Silents. No respect.” ….

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Log in. Sign up“@NickRiccardi @billscher $100B (at last estimate) for something that may or may not have an appreciable impact on NY-SF traffic isn't really cheapskating. It's like 1/5th of the cost of building the entire interstate system!”

Sean T at RCP on Twitter: "For people under 16 this is less deadly than the flu. Not even on my radar of considerations. And as I said, in a few weeks if you haven't …“@sahilkapur @RobGeorge @EsotericCD On 2), I never understood the white hot, burning hatred of Buttigieg among younger progressives. But it is very much there.”“Which was a huge miscalculation on his part (I remember some offical basically saying "no Republican president would be crazy enough to undo this." Oops.) Anyway ...Jun 4, 2022 · “This happened in all the Senate races. Pryor was in the game against Cotton through much of the summer, but basically got the same vote share he'd been polling at from May onward; Cotton got all the undecideds, almost all of whom disapproved of the president.”

“I think these analyses provide useful context on where this election stands. The biggest limitation on these analyses isn't that the GOP holds a large number of seats to begin. It is that they describe linear relationships between seat gain which probably don't hold this cycle.”Nov 7, 2018 · Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. It described it as being 100% in, but in fact, those precincts are partially reporting. There are eight counties still at ... “@jbview @yeselson I guess I feel like a representative doesn't lose by 35 points without seriously deviating from constituents' impressions of what they're about. But I think it's an interesting way of looking at it, and maybe her earlier campaigns don't conform to my expectations.”

Apr 18, 2021 · Sean T at RCP on Twitter: "For people under 16 this is less deadly than the flu. Not even on my radar of considerations. And as I said, in a few weeks if you haven't received your vaccine, it's pretty much on you. Especially given the teeny tiny risk of outdoor transmission to begin with.… https://t.co/Dw7OXIHcO4" Jan 26, 2022 · Log in. Sign up

database development process “On cultural issues, this will be, at least for the present, quite "liberal," but on economic issues, especially regarding things like the deficit, it will tend to be reasonably centrist, or even center-right. On foreign policy it will tend to … mega moto minibike “I think these analyses provide useful context on where this election stands. The biggest limitation on these analyses isn't that the GOP holds a large number of seats to begin. It is that they describe linear relationships between seat gain which probably don't hold this cycle.” autism services in kansas Dr. Sean T at RCP, Ph.D.'s Threads – Thread Reader App. Aug 9 • 14 tweets • 3 min read. Save as PDF. Today is my son Judson's 16th Birthday. ase conference 2022 “@JenRodbowers @BenjySarlin The R won by 10 points in a district that went for Romney by 2 and Clinton by 7. I don't want to overstate the importance but I don't think you can just dismiss it as "the district leaned R anyway" either.”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users native american art collectors “Look, it sounds like the debate is an utter disaster for him. But few will watch it, and it's a hard thing to go on the attack about without inspiring a backlash. This hurts Fetterman, but I don't think things have shifted all that dramatically.”. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende , dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart. Sean T at RCP is a free elf 2020/03/19/coronavirus-effect-economy-life-society-analysis-covid-135579 is les miles coaching Log in. Sign up“.@FiveThirtyEight nowcast up to 32.2% Trump. So we're at Russian Roulette with bullets in two cylinders.” big 12 baseball tournament bracket schedule “We need more analysis like this. Hispanics are not a monolith -- the entire construct isn't necessarily how people termed "Hispanic" or "Latino" conceive of themselves. Immigration, for example, has very different relationships with Mex-Am, Cuban-Am, and Puerto Rican voters.”Oct 26, 2022 · “Look, it sounds like the debate is an utter disaster for him. But few will watch it, and it's a hard thing to go on the attack about without inspiring a backlash. This hurts Fetterman, but I don't think things have shifted all that dramatically.” bryce hoppel “It just drives me nuts when people say "the lesson of the Great Recession is the danger of doing too little rather than too much." It was just a different type of downturn. 5/”“Look, it sounds like the debate is an utter disaster for him. But few will watch it, and it's a hard thing to go on the attack about without inspiring a backlash. This hurts Fetterman, but I don't think things have shifted all that dramatically.” university of tartu Log in. Sign up“On cultural issues, this will be, at least for the present, quite "liberal," but on economic issues, especially regarding things like the deficit, it will tend to be reasonably centrist, or even center-right. On foreign policy it will tend to … ktvo news ottumwawestern union phone number to send money 01 Nov 2022 23:09:39 what can you do with adobe express Dr. Sean T at RCP, Ph.D.'s Threads - Thread Reader App. Aug 9 • 14 tweets • 3 min read. Save as PDF. Today is my son Judson's 16th Birthday.As of 2015, several hundred radio stations, including Oregon’s KUFO-AM and Iowa’s KSCJ-AM, air “The Sean Hannity Show” across the United States. Listeners find their local stations by selecting their states on a map on Hannity.com and then ... zillow sagamore hills “The story that makes the most sense re the leak is actually Chief Justice Roberts, trying to illustrate to a swing justice what the backlash would be like. But it is also completely out of character for Roberts; burn the village … which technique should be avoided when providing effective corrective feedback The silver lining for Ds is this: Ciattarelli came close to Christie's 2013 showing in Passaic, (when Christie won by 22 statewide), but likely loses.“@brianros1 @BenjySarlin @_Jon_Green @EsotericCD Yes. Republicans are not going to be very eager to do that. Maybe Ohio State because the state is so nostalgic about it, but I suspect Oberlin is going to be … graduate certificate in epidemiology Jun 1, 2022 · “So many other low points, like horses on Star Destroyers, or Chewie fake dying, or C3P0 fake losing his memory, or the weird Kimiji storyline, or a Palpatine appropriating the Skywalker name. But here's the thing, most of the problems were not of Ep. IX's making. 7/” Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende. ... Still early, but she's running ahead of Obama in 7 of the 8 IN counties reporting. 11:50 PM · Nov 8, 2016 · Twitter Web Client. 225. why literacy is important in education . Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende , dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart. Sean T at RCP is a free elf 2020/03/19/coronavirus-effect-economy-life-society-analysis-covid-135579 “My hot take is that George Martin pretty clearly lost the motivation to finish the main series after the show overtook him, and he should just do a lengthy blog post giving the outlines of how he would have ended it and then go … map of urope Log in. Sign up hegemony discourse “McAuliffe starting to get some more results above the line. Also, moving the threshold up to 85% reporting. City of Richmond hasn't started to come in yet, and Fairfax is still largely outstanding. This is still very interesting.” ks portal In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users darnell jackson major change “There are obviously answers to all of this -- if there weren't I would not have led with him losing four of five times or so. The point is, though, that he's not THAT far off where he needs to be to be back in this. 9/9”“And we're probably just interested in that statement for the actual fact that Trump tried to commandeer the Secret Service vehicle. Now there are about a billion exceptions to the hearsay rule. 6/”It's pretty amazing that we have a grand total of 3 decent, non interest-group sponsored polls of Fetterman-Oz. 08 Aug 2022 ]